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Prediction for CME (2025-08-27T20:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-08-27T20:38Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/40915/-1
CME Note: CME seen as a narrow flux rope CME to the NE in STEREO A COR2 and as an extremely faint and wider flux rope to the NNE in GOES CCOR-1. Source is a small eruption seen starting at 2025-08-27T20:02Z seen as brightening from AR 14198 (N10E09) and post-eruptive brightening seen surrounding the Active Region in SDO AIA 131/304. Not captured in real time by SOHO LASCO due to a data gap which began 2025-08-27T12:30Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-08-31T04:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 57.05 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-08-28T18:57Z
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